Predictions › Premier League › Liverpool vs Fulham
Liverpool vs Fulham prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 17:00 Kenya time, Anfield
Liverpool2.12 - 0.99
expected goals
FulhamLiverpool 63%Draw 21%Fulham 16%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Liverpool to win
★
Best value
Under 3.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Liverpool to win and Over 2.5
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to win | 63% | 1.59 | 1.46 | -8.8% |
| A Draw | 21% | 4.72 | 4.90 | +3.8% |
| Fulham to win | 16% | 6.21 | 6.50 | +4.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 | 2.15 | -19.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | 1.71 | +7.0% |
| Liverpool -1.5 | 40% | 2.52 | 2.10 | -16.6% |
| Fulham +1.5 | 60% | 1.66 | 1.67 | +0.5% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 1.79 |
| Liverpool or Draw | 84% | 1.19 |
| Fulham or Draw | 37% | 2.68 |
| Liverpool to win and Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 |
| Fulham to win and Over 2.5 | 10% | 9.96 |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 37% | 2.68 |
| Fulham clean sheet | 12% | 8.30 |
Most likely scores
2-010.1%
1-19.9%
2-19.9%
1-08.9%
3-07.1%
Questions people ask
Who will win Liverpool vs Fulham?
Our model gives Liverpool a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Fulham 16%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Fulham?
We expect about 3.1 goals (Liverpool 2.12, Fulham 0.99). Over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Fulham?
Both teams to score has a 56% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
2-0, with a 10.1% chance, followed by 1-1 and 2-1.