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Predictions › Belgian Pro League › Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 19 Sept, 18:45 UTC

Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen prediction

Soeverein Stadion

Lommel SKHome
1.77 : 1.04
expected goals
KV MechelenAway
54%Lommel SK
25%Draw
21%KV Mechelen
Eagle safe pickLommel SK or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen is Lommel SK to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Lommel SK or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Lommel SK to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Lommel SK 1.8, KV Mechelen 1.0
Best bet
Lommel SK or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lommel SK or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lommel SK to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lommel SK 54%, the draw 25% and KV Mechelen 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lommel SK took 7 points from their last 5 games and KV Mechelen took 2 from 5. Lommel SK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Lommel SK won 1 of their last 3 games at home. KV Mechelen won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Lommel SK score 1.2 goals a game and let in 0.6. KV Mechelen score 0.9 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Lommel SK games and 13 of KV Mechelen games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Lommel SK or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen: Lommel SK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lommel SK host KV Mechelen in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 19 Sept, 18:45 at Soeverein Stadion. Our prediction for Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen is Lommel SK to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Lommel SK or Draw at 1.27.

Lommel SK form

Lommel SK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

KV Mechelen form

KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lommel SK to score about 1.8 goals and KV Mechelen about 1.0. That points to Lommel SK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Lommel SK or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Lommel SK to win and Over 2.5 at 2.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Lommel SKKV Mechelen
Games played520
Wins23
Draws15
Losses212
Goals scored619
Goals conceded346
Scored per game1.20.9
Conceded per game0.62.3
Home record1W 0D 2L3W 2D 5L
Away record1W 1D 0L0W 3D 7L
Clean sheets40%10%
Both teams scored20%55%
Over 2.5 goals20%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%3.23
Both teams to score54%1.85
Lommel SK or Draw79%1.27
KV Mechelen or Draw46%2.17
Lommel SK to win and Over 2.534%2.90
KV Mechelen to win and Over 2.513%7.99
Lommel SK clean sheet36%2.82
KV Mechelen clean sheet17%5.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
1-010.0%
2-19.8%
2-09.5%
0-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen?

Our prediction for Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen is Lommel SK to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Lommel SK or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Lommel SK to score 1.8 goals and KV Mechelen 1.0.

Will both teams score in Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Lommel SK last 5 games and 11 of KV Mechelen last 20.

How are Lommel SK playing?

Lommel SK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

How are KV Mechelen playing?

KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen?

Lommel SK or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.