Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Nationals +2.5

72% chanceFair price -2601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Washington Nationals 50% and Los Angeles Angels 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Washington Nationals won 0 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Angels won 3 of their last 5. Los Angeles Angels come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Washington Nationals won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Los Angeles Angels won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Washington Nationals score 4.0 runs a game and let in 5.0. Los Angeles Angels score 4.0 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 8.9 and 7.5 runs in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Nationals +2.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nationals +3.5 wins if Nationals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.