Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Reds +4.5

72% chanceFair price -2561 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Reds to win

30% chanceFair price +2381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Cincinnati Reds 30% and Los Angeles Dodgers 70%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Cincinnati Reds won 2 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 5 of their last 5. Los Angeles Dodgers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Cincinnati Reds won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Los Angeles Dodgers won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Cincinnati Reds score 5.1 runs a game and let in 6.8. Los Angeles Dodgers score 5.0 and let in 3.7. Their recent games average 11.8 and 8.8 runs in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, Cincinnati Reds won 1 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 4. The last one ended Los Angeles Dodgers 14, Cincinnati Reds 1.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Reds +4.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Reds +3.5 wins if Reds win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.