Los Angeles Sparks vs Dallas Wings prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Wings to win

74% chancePrice -3101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Dallas Wings 74% and Los Angeles Sparks 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Dallas Wings the favourite at -310.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Dallas Wings won 4 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Sparks won 3 of their last 5. Dallas Wings come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Dallas Wings won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Los Angeles Sparks won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Dallas Wings score 89.7 points a game and let in 85.2. Los Angeles Sparks score 86.3 and let in 90.0. Their recent games average 174.9 and 176.3 points in total, and the market line is 176.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Dallas Wings won 2 and Los Angeles Sparks won 0. The last one ended Dallas Wings 90, Los Angeles Sparks 82.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Wings to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wings +3.5 wins if Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.