Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs USC Trojans prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Under 69.5 points

75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives USC Trojans 97% and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 3%. The bookmakers agree and make USC Trojans the favourite at -9091.

2. 2
   Recent form

   USC Trojans won 3 of their last 5 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 4 of their last 5. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   USC Trojans won 7 of their last 7 games at home. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   USC Trojans score 31.8 points a game and let in 22.5. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns score 27.5 and let in 30.3. Their recent games average 54.3 and 57.8 points in total, and the market line is 59.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Under 69.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. USC +3.5 wins if USC win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.