Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Under 65.5 points

75% chanceFair price -2981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives LSU Tigers 98% and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 2%. The bookmakers agree and make LSU Tigers the favourite at -20000.

2. 2
   Recent form

   LSU Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 4 of their last 5. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   LSU Tigers won 6 of their last 7 games at home. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 2 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   LSU Tigers score 25.7 points a game and let in 20.9. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs score 33.7 and let in 21.1. Their recent games average 46.6 and 54.8 points in total, and the market line is 55.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Under 65.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. LSU +3.5 wins if LSU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.