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Predictions › United States › LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels
College FootballSat 19 Sept, 19:30 United States time

LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

LSU TigersAway
29.8 : 28.1
projected points
Ole Miss RebelsHome
55%LSU
45%Ole Miss
Eagle safe pickOle Miss +12.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels is LSU Tigers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project LSU Tigers 29.8 and Ole Miss Rebels 28.1. Our best bet is Ole Miss +12.5 at -300.

Prediction
LSU Tigers to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
LSU Tigers 30, Ole Miss Rebels 28
Projected total
57.9 points
Best bet
Ole Miss +12.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ole Miss +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ole Miss Rebels 45% and LSU Tigers 55%. The bookmakers agree and make LSU Tigers the favourite at -135.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ole Miss Rebels won 4 of their last 5 and LSU Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Ole Miss Rebels come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ole Miss Rebels won 9 of their last 10 games at home. LSU Tigers won 0 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ole Miss Rebels score 35.9 points a game and let in 23.1. LSU Tigers score 25.7 and let in 20.9. Their recent games average 59.0 and 46.6 points in total, and the market line is 58.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Ole Miss Rebels won 1 and LSU Tigers won 0. The last one ended Ole Miss Rebels 24, LSU Tigers 19.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Ole Miss +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels: LSU Tigers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ole Miss Rebels host LSU Tigers in the College Football on Sat 19 Sept, 19:30 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels is LSU Tigers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project LSU Tigers 29.8 and Ole Miss Rebels 28.1. Our best bet is Ole Miss +12.5 at -300.

Ole Miss Rebels form

Ole Miss Rebels have 12 wins and 2 losses in their last 14 games, with 502 points scored and 324 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

LSU Tigers form

LSU Tigers have 6 wins and 6 losses in their last 12 games, with 308 points scored and 251 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 5 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Ole Miss Rebels won 1, LSU Tigers won 0. Last time out it finished Ole Miss Rebels 24, LSU Tigers 19.

Our call

We expect LSU Tigers to score about 29.8 points and Ole Miss Rebels about 28.1. That points to LSU Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Ole Miss +12.5 at -300.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

Ole MissLSU
Games played1412
Wins126
Losses26
Points scored502308
Points conceded324251
Scored per game35.925.7
Conceded per game23.120.9
Home record9W 1L6W 1L
Away record3W 1L0W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Ole Miss to win45%+122+114-3.5%
LSU to win55%-122-135-4.4%
Ole Miss +2.552%-108-108+0.1%
LSU -2.548%+108-112-9.1%
Over 58.5 points49%+106-112-8.1%
Under 58.5 points51%-106-108-1.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Ole Miss spreadCoversFair
Ole Miss -5.533%+207
Ole Miss -1.542%+138
Ole Miss +1.549%+102
Ole Miss +4.557%-132
Ole Miss +8.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
50.568%32%
54.558%42%
57.551%49%
60.544%56%
64.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ole Miss +3.5 wins if Ole Miss win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels?

Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels is LSU Tigers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project LSU Tigers 29.8 and Ole Miss Rebels 28.1. Our best bet is Ole Miss +12.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels?

We project LSU Tigers 29.8 and Ole Miss Rebels 28.1, about 57.9 points in total.

How are Ole Miss Rebels playing?

Ole Miss Rebels have 12 wins and 2 losses in their last 14 games, with 502 points scored and 324 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are LSU Tigers playing?

LSU Tigers have 6 wins and 6 losses in their last 12 games, with 308 points scored and 251 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 5 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Ole Miss Rebels and LSU Tigers last met?

It ended Ole Miss Rebels 24, LSU Tigers 19. In the last 1 meeting Ole Miss Rebels won 1 and LSU Tigers won 0.

What is the best bet for LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels?

Ole Miss +12.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.