Luton Town vs Bradford City prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Luton Town or Draw

78% chanceFair price 2/72 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Luton Town to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 9/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Luton Town 52%, the draw 26% and Bradford City 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Luton Town took 4 points from their last 5 games and Bradford City took 7 from 5. Bradford City come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Luton Town won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Bradford City won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Goals

   Luton Town score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.5. Bradford City score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Luton Town games and 6 of Bradford City games in that run.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Luton Town won 1 and Bradford City won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Luton Town 2, Bradford City 1.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Luton Town or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.