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Predictions › J1 League › Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 LeagueSat 12 Sept, 10:00 UTC

Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos prediction

Japan National Stadium

Machida ZelviaHome
1.57 : 1.14
expected goals
Yokohama F. MarinosAway
47%Machida Zelvia
27%Draw
27%Yokohama FM
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Machida Zelvia to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Machida Zelvia to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Machida Zelvia 1.6, Yokohama F. Marinos 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Yokohama F. Marinos to win
27% chancePrice 4.00+7.7% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Machida Zelvia 47%, the draw 27% and Yokohama F. Marinos 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Machida Zelvia the favourite at 1.83.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Machida Zelvia took 13 points from their last 5 games and Yokohama F. Marinos took 10 from 5. Machida Zelvia come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Machida Zelvia won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Yokohama F. Marinos won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Machida Zelvia score 1.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Machida Zelvia games and 10 of Yokohama F. Marinos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Machida Zelvia won 2 and Yokohama F. Marinos won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Machida Zelvia 2, Yokohama F. Marinos 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Machida Zelvia are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Machida Zelvia host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League on Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 at Japan National Stadium. Our prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Machida Zelvia to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Machida Zelvia form

Machida Zelvia have 11 wins, 8 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Yokohama F. Marinos form

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Machida Zelvia won 2, Yokohama F. Marinos won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Machida Zelvia 2, Yokohama F. Marinos 0.

Our call

We expect Machida Zelvia to score about 1.6 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos about 1.1. That points to Machida Zelvia to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Yokohama F. Marinos to win at 4.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Machida ZelviaYokohama FM
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws84
Losses18
Goals scored3535
Goals conceded1727
Scored per game1.81.8
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record6W 2D 1L2W 3D 4L
Away record5W 6D 0L6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Machida Zelvia to win47%2.151.83-14.6%
A Draw27%3.773.75-0.6%
Yokohama F. Marinos to win27%3.714.00+7.7%
Over 2.5 goals51%1.951.80-7.7%
Under 2.5 goals49%2.051.91-7.0%
Machida Zelvia -0.550%1.991.77-11.0%
Yokohama F. Marinos +0.550%2.011.91-5.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.96
Over 3.5 goals29%3.47
Both teams to score55%1.83
Machida Zelvia or Draw73%1.37
Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw53%1.87
Machida Zelvia to win and Over 2.529%3.49
Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.516%6.35
Machida Zelvia clean sheet32%3.13
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet21%4.81

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-09.7%
2-19.3%
2-08.2%
0-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Our prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Machida Zelvia to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Machida Zelvia to score 1.6 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos 1.1.

Will both teams score in Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Machida Zelvia last 20 games and 10 of Yokohama F. Marinos last 20.

How are Machida Zelvia playing?

Machida Zelvia have 11 wins, 8 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Yokohama F. Marinos playing?

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Machida Zelvia and Yokohama F. Marinos last met?

It ended Machida Zelvia 2, Yokohama F. Marinos 0. In the last 2 meetings Machida Zelvia won 2 and Yokohama F. Marinos won 0.

What is the best bet for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.