Predictions › Bundesliga › Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 16:30 Kenya time, MEWA ARENA
Mainz1.75 - 1.44
expected goals
Eintracht FrankfurtMainz 44%Draw 24%Frankfurt 31%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Under 3.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Eintracht Frankfurt to win
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz to win | 44% | 2.25 | 1.95 | -13.2% |
| A Draw | 24% | 4.10 | 3.80 | -7.3% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt to win | 31% | 3.21 | 3.25 | +1.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | 2.15 | -14.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.67 | +0.6% |
| Mainz -0.5 | 44% | 2.25 | 1.91 | -15.1% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt +0.5 | 56% | 1.80 | 1.80 | -0.0% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 1.57 |
| Mainz or Draw | 69% | 1.45 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw | 56% | 1.80 |
| Mainz to win and Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.16 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5 | 22% | 4.63 |
| Mainz clean sheet | 24% | 4.23 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 17% | 5.78 |
Most likely scores
1-111.0%
2-19.1%
1-27.5%
1-06.6%
2-26.5%
Questions people ask
Who will win Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our model gives Mainz a 44% chance, the draw 24% and Eintracht Frankfurt 31%.
How many goals will there be in Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
We expect about 3.2 goals (Mainz 1.75, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.44). Over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance.
Will both teams score in Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Both teams to score has a 64% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 11.0% chance, followed by 2-1 and 1-2.