EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaNewsOur recordResponsible gambling
Predictions › United Kingdom › Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Carabao CupWed 16 Sept, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Old Trafford

Manchester UnitedHome
1.98 : 1.36
expected goals
Brighton & Hove AlbionAway
51%Man United
23%Draw
26%Brighton
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Manchester United to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Prediction
Manchester United to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Manchester United 2.0, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/6
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1/62 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Manchester United to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Manchester United 51%, the draw 23% and Brighton & Hove Albion 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Manchester United the favourite at 4/5.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Manchester United took 10 points from their last 5 games and Brighton & Hove Albion took 4 from 5. Manchester United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Manchester United won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Brighton & Hove Albion won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Manchester United score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.2. Brighton & Hove Albion score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Manchester United games and 10 of Brighton & Hove Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 2 and Brighton & Hove Albion won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Brighton & Hove Albion 0, Manchester United 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Manchester United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Manchester United host Brighton & Hove Albion in the Carabao Cup on Wed 16 Sept, 20:00 at Old Trafford. Our prediction for Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Manchester United to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Manchester United form

Manchester United have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Brighton & Hove Albion form

Brighton & Hove Albion have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Manchester United won 2, Brighton & Hove Albion won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Brighton & Hove Albion 0, Manchester United 3.

Our call

We expect Manchester United to score about 2.0 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion about 1.4. That points to Manchester United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6. Our bold bet is Manchester United to win and Over 2.5 at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Man UnitedBrighton
Games played2020
Wins138
Draws44
Losses38
Goals scored4229
Goals conceded2423
Scored per game2.11.4
Conceded per game1.21.1
Home record9W 0D 1L5W 3D 3L
Away record4W 4D 2L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Manchester United to win51%10/114/5-9.2%
A Draw23%10/33/1-8.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion to win26%3/15/2-8.7%
Over 3.5 goals43%11/811/10-7.1%
Under 3.5 goals57%8/114/6-6.6%
Manchester United -0.552%10/118/11-8.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion +0.548%11/1010/11-7.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1/6
Over 2.5 goals65%8/15
Over 3.5 goals43%11/8
Both teams to score65%8/15
Manchester United or Draw74%1/3
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw49%21/20
Manchester United to win and Over 2.538%13/8
Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Manchester United clean sheet26%3/1
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-19.4%
2-06.9%
1-26.5%
1-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Our prediction for Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Manchester United to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Manchester United to score 2.0 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion 1.4.

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Manchester United last 20 games and 9 of Brighton & Hove Albion last 20.

How are Manchester United playing?

Manchester United have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Brighton & Hove Albion playing?

Brighton & Hove Albion have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Manchester United and Brighton & Hove Albion last met?

It ended Brighton & Hove Albion 0, Manchester United 3. In the last 2 meetings Manchester United won 2 and Brighton & Hove Albion won 0.

What is the best bet for Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/6, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.