Marshall Thundering Herd vs Missouri State Bears prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 46.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2791 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Marshall to win

27% chanceFair price +2661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Missouri State Bears 73% and Marshall Thundering Herd 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Missouri State Bears won 1 of their last 5 and Marshall Thundering Herd won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Missouri State Bears won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Marshall Thundering Herd won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Missouri State Bears score 24.9 points a game and let in 27.6. Marshall Thundering Herd score 31.1 and let in 31.1. Their recent games average 52.5 and 62.2 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Over 46.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Missouri St +3.5 wins if Missouri St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.