Predictions › South Africa › Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates

South African PremiershipSun 20 Sept, 15:00 South Africa time

Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates prediction

Royal Bafokeng Stadium

Marumo GallantsHome

0.48 : 2.13

expected goals

Orlando PiratesAway

7%Marumo

18%Draw

76%O Pirates

Eagle safe pickOrlando Pirates to win

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Orlando Pirates to win at 1.32.

Prediction: Orlando Pirates to win
Chance: 76%
Most likely score: 0-2
Expected goals: Marumo Gallants 0.5, Orlando Pirates 2.1
Best bet: Orlando Pirates to win at 1.32
Both teams to score: 34%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Orlando Pirates to win

76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.5

44% chanceFair price 2.291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Marumo Gallants 7%, the draw 18% and Orlando Pirates 76%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Marumo Gallants took 2 points from their last 5 games and Orlando Pirates took 13 from 5. Orlando Pirates come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Marumo Gallants won 0 of their last 12 games at home. Orlando Pirates won 8 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Marumo Gallants score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. Orlando Pirates score 2.4 and let in 0.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Marumo Gallants games and 11 of Orlando Pirates games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Marumo Gallants won 0 and Orlando Pirates won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Orlando Pirates 3, Marumo Gallants 0.
6
The safest bet
Orlando Pirates to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates: Orlando Pirates are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Marumo Gallants host Orlando Pirates in the South African Premiership on Sun 20 Sept, 15:00 at Royal Bafokeng Stadium. Our prediction for Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Orlando Pirates to win at 1.32.

Marumo Gallants form

Marumo Gallants have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Orlando Pirates form

Orlando Pirates have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Marumo Gallants won 0, Orlando Pirates won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Orlando Pirates 3, Marumo Gallants 0.

Our call

We expect Marumo Gallants to score about 0.5 goals and Orlando Pirates about 2.1. That points to Orlando Pirates to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Orlando Pirates to win at 1.32. Our bold bet is Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.5 at 2.29.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Marumo	O Pirates
Games played	20	20
Wins	1	14
Draws	9	5
Losses	10	1
Goals scored	14	48
Goals conceded	29	8
Scored per game	0.7	2.4
Conceded per game	1.4	0.4
Home record	0W 7D 5L	6W 3D 1L
Away record	1W 2D 5L	8W 2D 0L
Clean sheets	20%	70%
Both teams scored	50%	30%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.35
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.06
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.75
Both teams to score	34%	2.95
Marumo Gallants or Draw	24%	4.10
Orlando Pirates or Draw	93%	1.07
Marumo Gallants to win and Over 2.5	3%	37.94
Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.5	44%	2.29
Marumo Gallants clean sheet	12%	8.44
Orlando Pirates clean sheet	62%	1.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-216.7%

0-115.2%

0-311.9%

1-28.0%

1-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates?

Our prediction for Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Orlando Pirates to win at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-3. We expect Marumo Gallants to score 0.5 goals and Orlando Pirates 2.1.

Will both teams score in Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates?

Both teams to score has a 34% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Marumo Gallants last 20 games and 6 of Orlando Pirates last 20.

How are Marumo Gallants playing?

How are Orlando Pirates playing?

What happened when Marumo Gallants and Orlando Pirates last met?

It ended Orlando Pirates 3, Marumo Gallants 0. In the last 1 meeting Marumo Gallants won 0 and Orlando Pirates won 1.

What is the best bet for Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates?

Orlando Pirates to win at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.