Memphis Tigers vs Boise State Broncos prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Boise St to win

72% chancePrice -3251 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Memphis to win

28% chancePrice +2601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Boise State Broncos 72% and Memphis Tigers 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Boise State Broncos the favourite at -325.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Boise State Broncos won 3 of their last 5 and Memphis Tigers won 2 of their last 5. Boise State Broncos come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Boise State Broncos won 5 of their last 6 games at home. Memphis Tigers won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Boise State Broncos score 29.8 points a game and let in 24.8. Memphis Tigers score 31.4 and let in 24.6. Their recent games average 54.6 and 56.0 points in total, and the market line is 56.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Boise St to win has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Boise St +3.5 wins if Boise St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.