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Predictions › United States › Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders
NFLSun 13 Sept, 16:25 United States time

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction

Allegiant Stadium

Miami DolphinsAway
19.2 : 20.9
projected points
Las Vegas RaidersHome
41%Dolphins
59%Raiders
Eagle value pickDolphins +3
-108

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 59% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 19.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.9. Our best bet is Dolphins +3 at -108.

Prediction
Las Vegas Raiders to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Miami Dolphins 19, Las Vegas Raiders 21
Projected total
40.1 points
Best bet
Dolphins +3 at -108

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Dolphins +10
74% chanceFair price -2811 unit
★

Eagle value pick

Dolphins +3
54% chancePrice -108+4.2% value2 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Dolphins to win
41% chancePrice +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Las Vegas Raiders 59% and Miami Dolphins 41%. The bookmakers agree and make Las Vegas Raiders the favourite at -170.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Las Vegas Raiders won 2 of their last 5 and Miami Dolphins won 1 of their last 5. Las Vegas Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Las Vegas Raiders won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Miami Dolphins won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Las Vegas Raiders score 14.2 points a game and let in 25.5. Miami Dolphins score 19.0 and let in 23.9. Their recent games average 39.6 and 42.9 points in total, and the market line is 40.5.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Dolphins +3 is priced at -108. Our fair price is -118, so the bookmaker pays about 4.2% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders: Las Vegas Raiders are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Las Vegas Raiders host Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sun 13 Sept, 16:25 at Allegiant Stadium. Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 59% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 19.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.9. Our best bet is Dolphins +3 at -108.

Las Vegas Raiders form

Las Vegas Raiders have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 19 games, with 269 points scored and 484 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Miami Dolphins form

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 361 points scored and 454 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Miami Dolphins to score about 19.2 points and Las Vegas Raiders about 20.9. That points to Las Vegas Raiders to win. Our safest bet is Dolphins +10 at -281. Our value bet is Dolphins +3 at -108. Our bold bet is Dolphins to win at +142.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

RaidersDolphins
Games played1919
Wins37
Losses1612
Points scored269361
Points conceded484454
Scored per game14.219.0
Conceded per game25.523.9
Home record2W 9L5W 6L
Away record1W 7L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Raiders to win59%-142-170-6.7%
Dolphins to win41%+142+142-0.2%
Raiders -346%+118-112-13.1%
Dolphins +354%-118-108+4.2%
Over 40.5 points49%+105-105-5.0%
Under 40.5 points51%-105-115-4.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Raiders spreadCoversFair
Raiders -8.531%+227
Raiders -4.542%+140
Raiders -1.550%-102
Raiders +1.559%-145
Raiders +5.570%-235
Total pointsOverUnder
33.569%31%
37.558%42%
40.549%51%
43.540%60%
47.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Raiders +3.5 wins if Raiders win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 59% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 19.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.9. Our best bet is Dolphins +3 at -108.

What is the projected score for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?

We project Miami Dolphins 19.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.9, about 40.1 points in total.

How are Las Vegas Raiders playing?

Las Vegas Raiders have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 19 games, with 269 points scored and 484 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Miami Dolphins playing?

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 361 points scored and 454 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Dolphins +3 at -108, with a 54% chance. That price pays about 4.2% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.