PredictionsUnited StatesMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd
College FootballSat 12 Sept, 19:00 United States time

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction

Joan C. Edwards Stadium

Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersAway
21.7 : 34.5
projected points
Marshall Thundering HerdHome
20%MTSU
80%Marshall
Eagle safe pickMarshall to win
-521

Quick answer

Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 80% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 21.7 and Marshall Thundering Herd 34.5. Our best bet is Marshall to win at -521.

Prediction
Marshall Thundering Herd to win
Chance
80%
Projected score
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 22, Marshall Thundering Herd 35
Projected total
56.3 points
Best bet
Marshall to win at -521

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Marshall to win
80% chancePrice -5211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Marshall Thundering Herd 80% and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 20%. The bookmakers agree and make Marshall Thundering Herd the favourite at -521.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Marshall Thundering Herd won 1 of their last 5 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 3 of their last 5. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Marshall Thundering Herd won 3 of their last 5 games at home. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 2 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Marshall Thundering Herd score 31.1 points a game and let in 31.1. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders score 25.7 and let in 28.1. Their recent games average 62.2 and 53.8 points in total, and the market line is 56.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Marshall Thundering Herd won 1 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 0. The last one ended Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28, Marshall Thundering Herd 42.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Marshall to win has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd: Marshall Thundering Herd are favourites

The big picture

Marshall Thundering Herd host Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in the College Football on Sat 12 Sept, 19:00 at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 80% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 21.7 and Marshall Thundering Herd 34.5. Our best bet is Marshall to win at -521.

Marshall Thundering Herd form

Marshall Thundering Herd have 5 wins and 6 losses in their last 11 games, with 342 points scored and 342 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders form

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 4 wins and 7 losses in their last 11 games, with 283 points scored and 309 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Marshall Thundering Herd won 1, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 0. Last time out it finished Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28, Marshall Thundering Herd 42.

Our call

We expect Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to score about 21.7 points and Marshall Thundering Herd about 34.5. That points to Marshall Thundering Herd to win. Our safest bet is Marshall to win at -521.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

MarshallMTSU
Games played1111
Wins54
Losses67
Points scored342283
Points conceded342309
Scored per game31.125.7
Conceded per game31.128.1
Home record3W 2L2W 4L
Away record2W 4L2W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Marshall to win80%-403-521-4.5%
MTSU to win20%+403+390-2.6%
Marshall -13.548%+107-105-5.7%
MTSU +13.552%-107-115-3.3%
Over 56.5 points49%+102-112-6.5%
Under 56.5 points51%-102-108-2.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Marshall spreadCoversFair
Marshall -19.534%+196
Marshall -15.543%+131
Marshall -12.551%-103
Marshall -9.558%-139
Marshall -5.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
49.566%34%
53.557%43%
56.549%51%
59.542%58%
63.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Marshall +3.5 wins if Marshall win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 80% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 21.7 and Marshall Thundering Herd 34.5. Our best bet is Marshall to win at -521.

What is the projected score for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 21.7 and Marshall Thundering Herd 34.5, about 56.3 points in total.

How are Marshall Thundering Herd playing?

Marshall Thundering Herd have 5 wins and 6 losses in their last 11 games, with 342 points scored and 342 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders playing?

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 4 wins and 7 losses in their last 11 games, with 283 points scored and 309 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Marshall Thundering Herd and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders last met?

It ended Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28, Marshall Thundering Herd 42. In the last 1 meeting Marshall Thundering Herd won 1 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 0.

What is the best bet for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

Marshall to win at -521, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.