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Predictions › United Kingdom › Middlesbrough vs Millwall
ChampionshipTue 15 Sept, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Middlesbrough vs Millwall prediction

Riverside Stadium

MiddlesbroughHome
1.37 : 1.00
expected goals
MillwallAway
45%Boro
29%Draw
27%Millwall
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs Millwall is Middlesbrough to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Middlesbrough to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Middlesbrough 1.4, Millwall 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Middlesbrough 45%, the draw 29% and Millwall 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Middlesbrough took 10 points from their last 5 games and Millwall took 6 from 5. Middlesbrough come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Middlesbrough won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Millwall won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Middlesbrough score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Millwall score 1.3 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Middlesbrough games and 8 of Millwall games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Middlesbrough won 0 and Millwall won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Middlesbrough 1, Millwall 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Middlesbrough vs Millwall: Middlesbrough shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Middlesbrough host Millwall in the Championship on Tue 15 Sept, 19:45 at Riverside Stadium. Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs Millwall is Middlesbrough to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

Middlesbrough form

Middlesbrough have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Millwall form

Millwall have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Middlesbrough won 0, Millwall won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Middlesbrough 1, Millwall 2.

Our call

We expect Middlesbrough to score about 1.4 goals and Millwall about 1.0. That points to Middlesbrough to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BoroMillwall
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws75
Losses66
Goals scored2726
Goals conceded2320
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.11.0
Home record5W 2D 2L5W 0D 5L
Away record2W 5D 4L4W 5D 1L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%4/9
Over 2.5 goals42%11/8
Over 3.5 goals21%7/2
Both teams to score48%11/10
Middlesbrough or Draw73%4/11
Millwall or Draw55%4/5
Middlesbrough to win and Over 2.524%10/3
Millwall to win and Over 2.513%13/2
Middlesbrough clean sheet37%7/4
Millwall clean sheet25%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-012.1%
0-010.2%
2-08.8%
2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Millwall?

Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs Millwall is Middlesbrough to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Middlesbrough vs Millwall?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Middlesbrough to score 1.4 goals and Millwall 1.0.

Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Millwall?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Middlesbrough last 20 games and 8 of Millwall last 20.

How are Middlesbrough playing?

Middlesbrough have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Millwall playing?

Millwall have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Middlesbrough and Millwall last met?

It ended Middlesbrough 1, Millwall 2. In the last 1 meeting Middlesbrough won 0 and Millwall won 1.

What is the best bet for Middlesbrough vs Millwall?

Under 3.5 goals at 2/7, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.