PredictionsSouth AfricaMilford FC vs Durban City
South African PremiershipSun 20 Sept, 15:00 South Africa time

Milford FC vs Durban City prediction

Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium

Milford FCHome
1.17 : 0.84
expected goals
Durban CityAway
43%Milford
32%Draw
26%Durban
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milford FC vs Durban City is Milford FC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Milford FC to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Milford FC 1.2, Durban City 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milford FC 43%, the draw 32% and Durban City 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milford FC took 8 points from their last 5 games and Durban City took 6 from 5. Milford FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Milford FC score 0.5 goals a game and let in 0.8. Durban City score 0.7 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Milford FC games and 2 of Durban City games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Milford FC vs Durban City: Milford FC shade it

The big picture

Milford FC host Durban City in the South African Premiership on Sun 20 Sept, 15:00 at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium. Our prediction for Milford FC vs Durban City is Milford FC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Milford FC form

Milford FC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Durban City form

Durban City have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Milford FC to score about 1.2 goals and Durban City about 0.8. That points to Milford FC to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MilfordDurban
Games played620
Wins25
Draws28
Losses27
Goals scored314
Goals conceded517
Scored per game0.50.7
Conceded per game0.80.8
Home record2W 0D 0L3W 6D 2L
Away record0W 2D 2L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets50%45%
Both teams scored17%25%
Over 2.5 goals17%10%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.66
Over 2.5 goals32%3.08
Over 3.5 goals14%6.97
Both teams to score40%2.51
Milford FC or Draw74%1.34
Durban City or Draw57%1.74
Milford FC to win and Over 2.519%5.39
Durban City to win and Over 2.510%9.72
Milford FC clean sheet43%2.31
Durban City clean sheet31%3.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.9%
0-014.3%
1-114.0%
0-110.5%
2-09.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Milford FC vs Durban City?

Our prediction for Milford FC vs Durban City is Milford FC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Milford FC vs Durban City?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Milford FC to score 1.2 goals and Durban City 0.8.

Will both teams score in Milford FC vs Durban City?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Milford FC last 6 games and 5 of Durban City last 20.

How are Milford FC playing?

Milford FC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Durban City playing?

Durban City have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Milford FC vs Durban City?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.