PredictionsSouth AfricaMilford FC vs Richards Bay FC
South African PremiershipSun 13 Sept, 15:00 South Africa time

Milford FC vs Richards Bay FC prediction

Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium

Milford FCHome
0.97 : 0.79
expected goals
Richards Bay FCAway
38%Milford
35%Draw
28%Richards Bay
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milford FC vs Richards Bay FC is Milford FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Prediction
Milford FC to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Milford FC 1.0, Richards Bay FC 0.8
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.35
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
18% chanceFair price 5.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milford FC 38%, the draw 35% and Richards Bay FC 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Milford FC the favourite at 2.50.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milford FC took 8 points from their last 5 games and Richards Bay FC took 3 from 5. Milford FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Milford FC score 0.5 goals a game and let in 0.8. Richards Bay FC score 0.8 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Milford FC games and 8 of Richards Bay FC games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Milford FC vs Richards Bay FC: Milford FC shade it

The big picture

Milford FC host Richards Bay FC in the South African Premiership on Sun 13 Sept, 15:00 at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium. Our prediction for Milford FC vs Richards Bay FC is Milford FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Milford FC form

Milford FC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Richards Bay FC form

Richards Bay FC have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Milford FC to score about 1.0 goals and Richards Bay FC about 0.8. That points to Milford FC to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MilfordRichards Bay
Games played620
Wins23
Draws210
Losses27
Goals scored317
Goals conceded524
Scored per game0.50.8
Conceded per game0.81.2
Home record2W 0D 0L2W 6D 2L
Away record0W 2D 2L1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets50%25%
Both teams scored17%55%
Over 2.5 goals17%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Milford FC to win38%2.662.50-6.0%
A Draw35%2.882.60-9.7%
Richards Bay FC to win28%3.623.15-12.9%
Over 1.5 goals57%1.741.56-10.8%
Under 1.5 goals43%2.342.25-4.0%
Milford FC -0.537%2.682.45-8.5%
Richards Bay FC +0.563%1.601.46-8.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals53%1.88
Over 2.5 goals26%3.88
Over 3.5 goals10%9.81
Both teams to score35%2.89
Milford FC or Draw72%1.38
Richards Bay FC or Draw62%1.60
Milford FC to win and Over 2.514%7.37
Richards Bay FC to win and Over 2.59%10.54
Milford FC clean sheet45%2.20
Richards Bay FC clean sheet38%2.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-018.0%
1-015.9%
1-114.0%
0-112.8%
2-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Milford FC vs Richards Bay FC?

Our prediction for Milford FC vs Richards Bay FC is Milford FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Milford FC vs Richards Bay FC?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Milford FC to score 1.0 goals and Richards Bay FC 0.8.

Will both teams score in Milford FC vs Richards Bay FC?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Milford FC last 6 games and 11 of Richards Bay FC last 20.

How are Milford FC playing?

Milford FC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Richards Bay FC playing?

Richards Bay FC have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Milford FC vs Richards Bay FC?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.