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Predictions › United Kingdom › Millwall vs West Ham United
ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Millwall vs West Ham United prediction

The Den

MillwallHome
1.75 : 1.29
expected goals
West Ham UnitedAway
48%Millwall
25%Draw
28%West Ham
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Millwall vs West Ham United is Millwall to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
Millwall to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Millwall 1.8, West Ham United 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Millwall to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Millwall 48%, the draw 25% and West Ham United 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Millwall took 6 points from their last 5 games and West Ham United took 13 from 5. West Ham United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Millwall won 5 of their last 10 games at home. West Ham United won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Millwall score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.0. West Ham United score 2.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Millwall games and 14 of West Ham United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Millwall vs West Ham United: Millwall are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Millwall host West Ham United in the Championship on Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 at The Den. Our prediction for Millwall vs West Ham United is Millwall to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Millwall form

Millwall have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

West Ham United form

West Ham United have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Millwall to score about 1.8 goals and West Ham United about 1.3. That points to Millwall to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Millwall to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MillwallWest Ham
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws54
Losses66
Goals scored2641
Goals conceded2027
Scored per game1.32.0
Conceded per game1.01.4
Home record5W 0D 5L7W 1D 2L
Away record4W 5D 1L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets45%30%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%2/9
Over 2.5 goals59%8/11
Over 3.5 goals36%7/4
Both teams to score61%4/6
Millwall or Draw72%2/5
West Ham United or Draw52%10/11
Millwall to win and Over 2.533%85/40
West Ham United to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Millwall clean sheet27%13/5
West Ham United clean sheet17%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.4%
1-07.7%
2-07.3%
1-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Championship

West Ham Dominate Wrexham in Record Breaking London Stadium Match

Wrexham suffered their heaviest defeat under celebrity owners Ryan Reynolds and Rob Mac in a six to zero loss against West Ham.

2 hours ago

Questions people ask

Who will win Millwall vs West Ham United?

Our prediction for Millwall vs West Ham United is Millwall to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Millwall vs West Ham United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Millwall to score 1.8 goals and West Ham United 1.3.

Will both teams score in Millwall vs West Ham United?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Millwall last 20 games and 11 of West Ham United last 20.

How are Millwall playing?

Millwall have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are West Ham United playing?

West Ham United have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Millwall vs West Ham United?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/9, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.