Predictions › United Kingdom › Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United

League OneSat 12 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United prediction

Stadium MK

Milton Keynes DonsHome

1.76 : 1.30

expected goals

Peterborough UnitedAway

48%MK Dons

25%Draw

28%Peterborough

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

4/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United is Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 4/7.

Prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Milton Keynes Dons 1.8, Peterborough United 1.3
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 4/7
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

61% chancePrice 4/71 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Milton Keynes Dons to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Milton Keynes Dons 48%, the draw 25% and Peterborough United 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at Evens.
2
Recent form
Milton Keynes Dons took 4 points from their last 5 games and Peterborough United took 7 from 5. Peterborough United come in with the better run.
3
Goals
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.2. Peterborough United score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Milton Keynes Dons games and 12 of Peterborough United games in that run.
4
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United: Milton Keynes Dons are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Milton Keynes Dons host Peterborough United in the League One on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 at Stadium MK. Our prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United is Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 4/7.

Milton Keynes Dons form

Milton Keynes Dons have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 8 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Peterborough United form

Peterborough United have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Milton Keynes Dons to score about 1.8 goals and Peterborough United about 1.3. That points to Milton Keynes Dons to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 4/7. Our bold bet is Milton Keynes Dons to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	MK Dons	Peterborough
Games played	6	20
Wins	0	4
Draws	4	7
Losses	2	9
Goals scored	8	27
Goals conceded	13	33
Scored per game	1.3	1.4
Conceded per game	2.2	1.6
Home record	0W 2D 0L	2W 5D 3L
Away record	0W 2D 2L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	17%	20%
Both teams scored	83%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	67%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Milton Keynes Dons to win	48%	11/10	Evens	-4.8%
A Draw	25%	3/1	11/4	-5.0%
Peterborough United to win	28%	13/5	12/5	-5.7%
Over 3.5 goals	39%	8/5	11/8	-8.4%
Under 3.5 goals	61%	8/13	4/7	-4.1%
Milton Keynes Dons -0.5	48%	21/20	10/11	-7.9%
Peterborough United +0.5	52%	10/11	4/5	-6.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	2/9
Over 2.5 goals	59%	8/11
Over 3.5 goals	36%	7/4
Both teams to score	61%	4/6
Milton Keynes Dons or Draw	72%	2/5
Peterborough United or Draw	52%	10/11
Milton Keynes Dons to win and Over 2.5	33%	2/1
Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5	18%	9/2
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet	27%	13/5
Peterborough United clean sheet	17%	5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%

2-19.4%

1-07.6%

2-07.3%

1-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United?

Our prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United is Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 4/7.

What is the score prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Milton Keynes Dons to score 1.8 goals and Peterborough United 1.3.

Will both teams score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Milton Keynes Dons last 6 games and 14 of Peterborough United last 20.

How are Milton Keynes Dons playing?

How are Peterborough United playing?

What is the best bet for Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United?

Under 3.5 goals at 4/7, with a 61% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.