PredictionsUnited StatesMilwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles
MLBSat 19 Sept, 16:05 United States time

Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles prediction

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Milwaukee BrewersAway
4.7 : 4.1
projected runs
Baltimore OriolesHome
56%Brewers
45%Orioles
Eagle safe pickOver 6.5 runs
-234

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles is Milwaukee Brewers to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Milwaukee Brewers 4.7 and Baltimore Orioles 4.1. Our best bet is Over 6.5 runs at -234.

Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Milwaukee Brewers 5, Baltimore Orioles 4
Projected total
8.8 runs
Best bet
Over 6.5 runs at -234

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 6.5 runs
70% chanceFair price -2341 unit

Eagle bold pick

Orioles to win
45% chanceFair price +1251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Baltimore Orioles 45% and Milwaukee Brewers 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Baltimore Orioles won 2 of their last 5 and Milwaukee Brewers won 3 of their last 5. Milwaukee Brewers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Baltimore Orioles won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Milwaukee Brewers won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Baltimore Orioles score 4.4 runs a game and let in 4.2. Milwaukee Brewers score 5.3 and let in 4.5. Their recent games average 8.6 and 9.9 runs in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 6.5 runs has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles: Milwaukee Brewers shade it

The big picture

Baltimore Orioles host Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB on Sat 19 Sept, 16:05 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Our prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles is Milwaukee Brewers to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Milwaukee Brewers 4.7 and Baltimore Orioles 4.1. Our best bet is Over 6.5 runs at -234.

Baltimore Orioles form

Baltimore Orioles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 88 runs scored and 84 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Milwaukee Brewers form

Milwaukee Brewers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 107 runs scored and 91 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Milwaukee Brewers to score about 4.7 runs and Baltimore Orioles about 4.1. That points to Milwaukee Brewers to win. Our safest bet is Over 6.5 runs at -234. Our bold bet is Orioles to win at +125.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OriolesBrewers
Games played2020
Wins1013
Losses107
Runs scored88107
Runs conceded8491
Scored per game4.45.3
Conceded per game4.24.5
Home record4W 7L8W 2L
Away record6W 3L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Orioles spreadCoversFair
Orioles -1.531%+218
Orioles -0.540%+148
Orioles +0.550%+101
Orioles +1.559%-145
Orioles +2.568%-213
Total runsOverUnder
6.570%30%
7.562%38%
8.553%47%
9.544%56%
10.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Orioles +3.5 wins if Orioles win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles?

Our prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles is Milwaukee Brewers to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Milwaukee Brewers 4.7 and Baltimore Orioles 4.1. Our best bet is Over 6.5 runs at -234.

What is the projected score for Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles?

We project Milwaukee Brewers 4.7 and Baltimore Orioles 4.1, about 8.8 runs in total.

How are Baltimore Orioles playing?

Baltimore Orioles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 88 runs scored and 84 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Milwaukee Brewers playing?

Milwaukee Brewers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 107 runs scored and 91 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles?

Over 6.5 runs at -234, with a 70% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.