Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Lynx to win

85% chanceFair price -5682 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Connecticut Sun 15% and Minnesota Lynx 85%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Connecticut Sun won 1 of their last 5 and Minnesota Lynx won 3 of their last 5. Minnesota Lynx come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Connecticut Sun won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Minnesota Lynx won 8 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Connecticut Sun score 78.5 points a game and let in 89.0. Minnesota Lynx score 92.3 and let in 86.5. Their recent games average 167.4 and 178.9 points in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Connecticut Sun won 1 and Minnesota Lynx won 1. The last one ended Connecticut Sun 80, Minnesota Lynx 86.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Lynx to win has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sun +3.5 wins if Sun win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.