Minnesota United FC vs LA Galaxy prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

76% chanceFair price -3102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price +6411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Minnesota United FC 41%, the draw 28% and LA Galaxy 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Minnesota United FC took 4 points from their last 5 games and LA Galaxy took 7 from 5. LA Galaxy come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Minnesota United FC won 1 of their last 11 games at home. LA Galaxy won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Goals

   Minnesota United FC score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. LA Galaxy score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Minnesota United FC games and 13 of LA Galaxy games in that run.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Minnesota United FC won 1 and LA Galaxy won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended LA Galaxy 1, Minnesota United FC 2.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.