Mississippi State Bulldogs vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

South Carolina to win

71% chancePrice -2981 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mississippi St to win

29% chancePrice +2401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives South Carolina Gamecocks 71% and Mississippi State Bulldogs 29%. The bookmakers agree and make South Carolina Gamecocks the favourite at -298.

2. 2
   Recent form

   South Carolina Gamecocks won 2 of their last 5 and Mississippi State Bulldogs won 1 of their last 5. South Carolina Gamecocks come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   South Carolina Gamecocks won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Mississippi State Bulldogs won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   South Carolina Gamecocks score 24.3 points a game and let in 22.2. Mississippi State Bulldogs score 33.3 and let in 30.8. Their recent games average 46.5 and 64.0 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   South Carolina to win has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. South Carolina +3.5 wins if South Carolina win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.