Missouri Tigers vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Missouri to win

62% chancePrice -1921 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kansas to win

38% chancePrice +1601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Kansas Jayhawks 38% and Missouri Tigers 62%. The bookmakers agree and make Missouri Tigers the favourite at -192.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Kansas Jayhawks won 2 of their last 5 and Missouri Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Missouri Tigers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Kansas Jayhawks won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Missouri Tigers won 2 of their last 4 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Kansas Jayhawks score 28.0 points a game and let in 27.1. Missouri Tigers score 28.7 and let in 18.6. Their recent games average 55.1 and 47.3 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Missouri to win has a 62% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kansas +3.5 wins if Kansas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.