EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaNewsOur recordResponsible gambling
Predictions › J1 League › Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale
J1 LeagueSat 12 Sept, 09:00 UTC

Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction

Kasamatsu Stadium

Mito HollyhockHome
1.29 : 1.53
expected goals
Kawasaki FrontaleAway
31%Mito Hollyhock
26%Draw
42%Kawasaki
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale is Kawasaki Frontale to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Kawasaki Frontale to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mito Hollyhock 1.3, Kawasaki Frontale 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mito Hollyhock to win
31% chancePrice 3.40+6.4% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mito Hollyhock 31%, the draw 26% and Kawasaki Frontale 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 2.00.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mito Hollyhock took 9 points from their last 5 games and Kawasaki Frontale took 8 from 5. Mito Hollyhock come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mito Hollyhock won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Kawasaki Frontale won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Kawasaki Frontale score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Mito Hollyhock games and 10 of Kawasaki Frontale games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0 and Kawasaki Frontale won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Mito Hollyhock 1, Kawasaki Frontale 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale: Kawasaki Frontale shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mito Hollyhock host Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League on Sat 12 Sept, 09:00 at Kasamatsu Stadium. Our prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale is Kawasaki Frontale to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Mito Hollyhock form

Mito Hollyhock have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Kawasaki Frontale form

Kawasaki Frontale have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Mito Hollyhock won 0, Kawasaki Frontale won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Mito Hollyhock 1, Kawasaki Frontale 3.

Our call

We expect Mito Hollyhock to score about 1.3 goals and Kawasaki Frontale about 1.5. That points to Kawasaki Frontale to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Mito Hollyhock to win at 3.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Mito HollyhockKawasaki
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws75
Losses98
Goals scored2326
Goals conceded3431
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.71.6
Home record3W 4D 4L5W 2D 3L
Away record1W 3D 5L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets10%5%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Mito Hollyhock to win31%3.203.40+6.4%
A Draw26%3.793.75-1.1%
Kawasaki Frontale to win42%2.362.00-15.3%
Over 2.5 goals57%1.761.61-8.6%
Under 2.5 goals43%2.322.25-3.1%
Mito Hollyhock +0.554%1.861.77-5.1%
Kawasaki Frontale -0.546%2.161.91-11.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.87
Over 3.5 goals31%3.20
Both teams to score58%1.74
Mito Hollyhock or Draw58%1.73
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw69%1.46
Mito Hollyhock to win and Over 2.519%5.16
Kawasaki Frontale to win and Over 2.527%3.71
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet22%4.63
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet28%3.63

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-29.0%
0-18.4%
2-17.6%
0-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Our prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale is Kawasaki Frontale to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Mito Hollyhock to score 1.3 goals and Kawasaki Frontale 1.5.

Will both teams score in Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Mito Hollyhock last 20 games and 13 of Kawasaki Frontale last 20.

How are Mito Hollyhock playing?

Mito Hollyhock have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Kawasaki Frontale playing?

Kawasaki Frontale have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Mito Hollyhock and Kawasaki Frontale last met?

It ended Mito Hollyhock 1, Kawasaki Frontale 3. In the last 2 meetings Mito Hollyhock won 0 and Kawasaki Frontale won 1.

What is the best bet for Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.