PredictionsUnited StatesMontana State Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack
College FootballSat 12 Sept, 22:30 United States time

Montana State Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction

Mackay Stadium

Montana State BobcatsAway
26.5 : 23.0
projected points
Nevada Wolf PackHome
59%Montana St
41%Nevada
Eagle safe pickNevada +13.5
-276

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montana State Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack is Montana State Bobcats to win, with a 59% chance. We project Montana State Bobcats 26.5 and Nevada Wolf Pack 23.0. Our best bet is Nevada +13.5 at -276.

Prediction
Montana State Bobcats to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Montana State Bobcats 27, Nevada Wolf Pack 23
Projected total
49.5 points
Best bet
Nevada +13.5 at -276

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Nevada +13.5
73% chanceFair price -2761 unit

Eagle bold pick

Nevada to win
41% chancePrice +1361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nevada Wolf Pack 41% and Montana State Bobcats 59%. The bookmakers agree and make Montana State Bobcats the favourite at -162.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Nevada +13.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Montana State Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack: Montana State Bobcats are favourites

The big picture

Nevada Wolf Pack host Montana State Bobcats in the College Football on Sat 12 Sept, 22:30 at Mackay Stadium. Our prediction for Montana State Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack is Montana State Bobcats to win, with a 59% chance. We project Montana State Bobcats 26.5 and Nevada Wolf Pack 23.0. Our best bet is Nevada +13.5 at -276.

Nevada Wolf Pack form

Nevada Wolf Pack have 3 wins and 8 losses in their last 11 games, with 229 points scored and 281 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Montana State Bobcats form

Montana State Bobcats have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect Montana State Bobcats to score about 26.5 points and Nevada Wolf Pack about 23.0. That points to Montana State Bobcats to win. Our safest bet is Nevada +13.5 at -276. Our bold bet is Nevada to win at +136.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

NevadaMontana St
Games played11n/a
Wins3n/a
Losses8n/a
Points scored229n/a
Points conceded281n/a
Scored per game20.8n/a
Conceded per game25.5n/a
Home record2W 4Ln/a
Away record1W 4Ln/a

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Nevada to win41%+145+136-3.7%
Montana St to win59%-145-162-4.3%
Nevada +3.550%+100-112-5.4%
Montana St -3.550%-100-108-3.7%
Over 49.5 points50%+100-112-5.4%
Under 49.5 points50%-100-108-3.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Nevada spreadCoversFair
Nevada -3.533%+202
Nevada +0.543%+135
Nevada +3.550%+100
Nevada +6.557%-135
Nevada +10.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
42.567%33%
46.557%43%
49.550%50%
52.543%57%
56.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nevada +3.5 wins if Nevada win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Montana State Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

Our prediction for Montana State Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack is Montana State Bobcats to win, with a 59% chance. We project Montana State Bobcats 26.5 and Nevada Wolf Pack 23.0. Our best bet is Nevada +13.5 at -276.

What is the projected score for Montana State Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

We project Montana State Bobcats 26.5 and Nevada Wolf Pack 23.0, about 49.5 points in total.

How are Nevada Wolf Pack playing?

Nevada Wolf Pack have 3 wins and 8 losses in their last 11 games, with 229 points scored and 281 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Montana State Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

Nevada +13.5 at -276, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.