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Predictions › Liga MX › Monterrey vs Cruz Azul
Liga MXSun 20 Sept, 01:00 UTC

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul prediction

Estadio BBVA

MonterreyHome
1.62 : 1.95
expected goals
Cruz AzulAway
32%Monterrey
23%Draw
45%Cruz Azul
Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score
1.44

Quick answer

Our prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul is Cruz Azul to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.44.

Prediction
Cruz Azul to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Monterrey 1.6, Cruz Azul 1.9
Best bet
Both teams to score at 1.44
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score
69% chanceFair price 1.441 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cruz Azul to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Monterrey 32%, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Monterrey took 6 points from their last 5 games and Cruz Azul took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Monterrey won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Cruz Azul won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Monterrey score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Cruz Azul score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Monterrey games and 12 of Cruz Azul games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Monterrey won 0 and Cruz Azul won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Monterrey 0, Cruz Azul 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Both teams to score has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul: Cruz Azul are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Monterrey host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX on Sun 20 Sept, 01:00 at Estadio BBVA. Our prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul is Cruz Azul to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.44.

Monterrey form

Monterrey have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Cruz Azul form

Cruz Azul have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Monterrey won 0, Cruz Azul won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Monterrey 0, Cruz Azul 2.

Our call

We expect Monterrey to score about 1.6 goals and Cruz Azul about 1.9. That points to Cruz Azul to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at 1.44. Our bold bet is Cruz Azul to win and Over 2.5 at 2.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MonterreyCruz Azul
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws37
Losses114
Goals scored2833
Goals conceded3226
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record5W 1D 5L4W 3D 3L
Away record1W 2D 6L5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored50%80%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.44
Over 3.5 goals48%2.08
Both teams to score69%1.44
Monterrey or Draw55%1.83
Cruz Azul or Draw68%1.47
Monterrey to win and Over 2.524%4.12
Cruz Azul to win and Over 2.535%2.85
Monterrey clean sheet14%7.06
Cruz Azul clean sheet20%5.08

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.4%
1-28.7%
2-17.2%
2-27.0%
1-35.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?

Our prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul is Cruz Azul to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.44.

What is the score prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Monterrey to score 1.6 goals and Cruz Azul 1.9.

Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Monterrey last 20 games and 16 of Cruz Azul last 20.

How are Monterrey playing?

Monterrey have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Cruz Azul playing?

Cruz Azul have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Monterrey and Cruz Azul last met?

It ended Monterrey 0, Cruz Azul 2. In the last 2 meetings Monterrey won 0 and Cruz Azul won 2.

What is the best bet for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?

Both teams to score at 1.44, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.