EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaNewsOur recordResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLSat 19 Sept, 19:00 United States time

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Montreal CanadiensAway
4.0 : 3.0
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
69%Canadiens
31%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-515

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 69% chance. We project Montreal Canadiens 4.0 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -515.

Prediction
Montreal Canadiens to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
Montreal Canadiens 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
7.0 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -515

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
84% chanceFair price -5152 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
31% chanceFair price +2181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 31% and Montreal Canadiens 69%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 0 of their last 5 and Montreal Canadiens won 1 of their last 5. Montreal Canadiens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Montreal Canadiens won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 2.8 goals a game and let in 4.2. Montreal Canadiens score 2.8 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 7.0 and 5.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Montreal Canadiens won 4. The last one ended Montreal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Montreal Canadiens are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Montreal Canadiens in the NHL on Sat 19 Sept, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 69% chance. We project Montreal Canadiens 4.0 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -515.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 84 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 1, Montreal Canadiens won 4. Last time out it finished Montreal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1.

Our call

We expect Montreal Canadiens to score about 4.0 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 3.0. That points to Montreal Canadiens to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -515. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +218.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsCanadiens
Games played2020
Wins59
Losses1511
Goals scored5556
Goals conceded8460
Scored per game2.82.8
Conceded per game4.23.0
Home record2W 6L2W 6L
Away record3W 9L7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -0.527%+275
Maple Leafs +0.542%+139
Maple Leafs +1.558%-140
Total goalsOverUnder
5.574%26%
6.558%42%
7.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 69% chance. We project Montreal Canadiens 4.0 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -515.

What is the projected score for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Montreal Canadiens 4.0 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0, about 7.0 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 84 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens last met?

It ended Montreal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1. In the last 5 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Montreal Canadiens won 4.

What is the best bet for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Over 5 goals at -515, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.