PredictionsUnited StatesNashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning
NHLSun 20 Sept, 17:00 United States time

Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction

Benchmark International Arena

Nashville PredatorsAway
2.7 : 3.4
projected goals
Tampa Bay LightningHome
36%Predators
64%Lightning
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-476

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 64% chance. We project Nashville Predators 2.7 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -476.

Prediction
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -476

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
83% chanceFair price -4762 units

Eagle bold pick

Predators to win
36% chanceFair price +1771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tampa Bay Lightning 64% and Nashville Predators 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 2 of their last 5 and Nashville Predators won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 7 of their last 13 games at home. Nashville Predators won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tampa Bay Lightning score 2.7 goals a game and let in 2.8. Nashville Predators score 3.1 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 5.5 and 5.9 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Tampa Bay Lightning won 4 and Nashville Predators won 0. The last one ended Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning are favourites

The big picture

Tampa Bay Lightning host Nashville Predators in the NHL on Sun 20 Sept, 17:00 at Benchmark International Arena. Our prediction for Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 64% chance. We project Nashville Predators 2.7 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -476.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 6 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Nashville Predators form

Nashville Predators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Tampa Bay Lightning won 4, Nashville Predators won 0. Last time out it finished Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2.

Our call

We expect Nashville Predators to score about 2.7 goals and Tampa Bay Lightning about 3.4. That points to Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -476. Our bold bet is Predators to win at +177.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LightningPredators
Games played2020
Wins1010
Losses1010
Goals scored5462
Goals conceded5556
Scored per game2.73.1
Conceded per game2.82.8
Home record7W 6L4W 4L
Away record3W 4L6W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Lightning spreadCoversFair
Lightning -1.537%+167
Lightning -0.554%-117
Lightning +0.570%-229
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lightning +3.5 wins if Lightning win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Our prediction for Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 64% chance. We project Nashville Predators 2.7 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -476.

What is the projected score for Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

We project Nashville Predators 2.7 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 6 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Nashville Predators playing?

Nashville Predators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Tampa Bay Lightning and Nashville Predators last met?

It ended Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2. In the last 4 meetings Tampa Bay Lightning won 4 and Nashville Predators won 0.

What is the best bet for Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Under 8 goals at -476, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.