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Predictions › United States › Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC
MLSSat 19 Sept, 21:30 United States time

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC prediction

GEODIS Park

Nashville SCHome
2.60 : 1.60
expected goals
Chicago Fire FCAway
59%Nashville
19%Draw
22%Chicago
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
-376

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC is Nashville SC to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -376.

Prediction
Nashville SC to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Nashville SC 2.6, Chicago Fire FC 1.6
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at -376
Both teams to score
74%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3762 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nashville SC to win and both score
41% chanceFair price +1471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nashville SC 59%, the draw 19% and Chicago Fire FC 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nashville SC took 10 points from their last 5 games and Chicago Fire FC took 7 from 5. Nashville SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nashville SC won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Chicago Fire FC won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nashville SC score 2.0 goals a game and let in 0.8. Chicago Fire FC score 2.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Nashville SC games and 15 of Chicago Fire FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Nashville SC won 0 and Chicago Fire FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Chicago Fire FC 1, Nashville SC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC: Nashville SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nashville SC host Chicago Fire FC in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 21:30 at GEODIS Park. Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC is Nashville SC to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -376.

Nashville SC form

Nashville SC have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Chicago Fire FC form

Chicago Fire FC have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Nashville SC won 0, Chicago Fire FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Chicago Fire FC 1, Nashville SC 0.

Our call

We expect Nashville SC to score about 2.6 goals and Chicago Fire FC about 1.6. That points to Nashville SC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at -376. Our bold bet is Nashville SC to win and both score at +147.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NashvilleChicago
Games played2020
Wins1310
Draws45
Losses35
Goals scored4040
Goals conceded1731
Scored per game2.02.0
Conceded per game0.81.6
Home record9W 1D 0L6W 1D 3L
Away record4W 3D 3L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets45%20%
Both teams scored45%80%
Over 2.5 goals60%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%-1250
Over 2.5 goals79%-376
Over 3.5 goals61%-153
Both teams to score74%-289
Nashville SC or Draw78%-348
Chicago Fire FC or Draw41%+142
Nashville SC to win and Over 2.550%-101
Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.518%+444
Nashville SC clean sheet20%+397
Chicago Fire FC clean sheet7%+1246

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.1%
3-17.0%
1-16.6%
2-26.5%
3-25.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC is Nashville SC to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -376.

What is the score prediction for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 1-1. We expect Nashville SC to score 2.6 goals and Chicago Fire FC 1.6.

Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Both teams to score has a 74% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Nashville SC last 20 games and 16 of Chicago Fire FC last 20.

How are Nashville SC playing?

Nashville SC have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Chicago Fire FC playing?

Chicago Fire FC have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Nashville SC and Chicago Fire FC last met?

It ended Chicago Fire FC 1, Nashville SC 0. In the last 1 meeting Nashville SC won 0 and Chicago Fire FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Over 2.5 goals at -376, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.