Navy Midshipmen vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FAU +14.5

74% chanceFair price -2921 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

FAU to win

37% chancePrice +1701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Florida Atlantic Owls 37% and Navy Midshipmen 63%. The bookmakers agree and make Navy Midshipmen the favourite at -205.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Florida Atlantic Owls won 1 of their last 5 and Navy Midshipmen won 5 of their last 5. Navy Midshipmen come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Florida Atlantic Owls won 2 of their last 5 games at home. Navy Midshipmen won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Florida Atlantic Owls score 28.4 points a game and let in 40.8. Navy Midshipmen score 30.1 and let in 25.8. Their recent games average 69.2 and 55.8 points in total, and the market line is 58.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Florida Atlantic Owls won 0 and Navy Midshipmen won 1. The last one ended Navy Midshipmen 42, Florida Atlantic Owls 32.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   FAU +14.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. FAU +3.5 wins if FAU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.