PredictionsUnited StatesNC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores
College FootballSat 19 Sept, 12:45 United States time

NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction

FirstBank Stadium

NC State WolfpackAway
19.8 : 37.3
projected points
Vanderbilt CommodoresHome
13%NC State
87%Vanderbilt
Eagle safe pickUnder 67.5 points
-287

Quick answer

Our prediction for NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 87% chance. We project NC State Wolfpack 19.8 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.3. Our best bet is Under 67.5 points at -287.

Prediction
Vanderbilt Commodores to win
Chance
87%
Projected score
NC State Wolfpack 20, Vanderbilt Commodores 37
Projected total
57.1 points
Best bet
Under 67.5 points at -287

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 67.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vanderbilt Commodores 87% and NC State Wolfpack 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 4 of their last 5 and NC State Wolfpack won 3 of their last 5. Vanderbilt Commodores come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 7 of their last 8 games at home. NC State Wolfpack won 1 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vanderbilt Commodores score 36.6 points a game and let in 23.6. NC State Wolfpack score 28.5 and let in 28.3. Their recent games average 60.2 and 56.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 67.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores: Vanderbilt Commodores are favourites

The big picture

Vanderbilt Commodores host NC State Wolfpack in the College Football on Sat 19 Sept, 12:45 at FirstBank Stadium. Our prediction for NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 87% chance. We project NC State Wolfpack 19.8 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.3. Our best bet is Under 67.5 points at -287.

Vanderbilt Commodores form

Vanderbilt Commodores have 9 wins and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 439 points scored and 283 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

NC State Wolfpack form

NC State Wolfpack have 6 wins and 6 losses in their last 12 games, with 342 points scored and 339 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect NC State Wolfpack to score about 19.8 points and Vanderbilt Commodores about 37.3. That points to Vanderbilt Commodores to win. Our safest bet is Under 67.5 points at -287.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

VanderbiltNC State
Games played1212
Wins96
Losses36
Points scored439342
Points conceded283339
Scored per game36.628.5
Conceded per game23.628.3
Home record7W 1L5W 1L
Away record2W 2L1W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Vanderbilt spreadCoversFair
Vanderbilt -24.533%+201
Vanderbilt -20.543%+134
Vanderbilt -17.550%-101
Vanderbilt -14.558%-136
Vanderbilt -10.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
50.566%34%
54.557%43%
57.549%51%
60.542%58%
64.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Vanderbilt +3.5 wins if Vanderbilt win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Our prediction for NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 87% chance. We project NC State Wolfpack 19.8 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.3. Our best bet is Under 67.5 points at -287.

What is the projected score for NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

We project NC State Wolfpack 19.8 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.3, about 57.1 points in total.

How are Vanderbilt Commodores playing?

Vanderbilt Commodores have 9 wins and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 439 points scored and 283 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are NC State Wolfpack playing?

NC State Wolfpack have 6 wins and 6 losses in their last 12 games, with 342 points scored and 339 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Under 67.5 points at -287, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.