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Predictions › Eredivisie › NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles
EredivisieSun 20 Sept, 14:45 UTC

NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction

Goffertstadion

NEC NijmegenHome
2.11 : 1.60
expected goals
Go Ahead EaglesAway
49%NEC
22%Draw
29%Go Ahead Eagles
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.40

Quick answer

Our prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles is NEC Nijmegen to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.40.

Prediction
NEC Nijmegen to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
NEC Nijmegen 2.1, Go Ahead Eagles 1.6
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.40
Both teams to score
71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
72% chanceFair price 1.401 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

NEC Nijmegen to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives NEC Nijmegen 49%, the draw 22% and Go Ahead Eagles 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    NEC Nijmegen took 7 points from their last 5 games and Go Ahead Eagles took 8 from 5. Go Ahead Eagles come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    NEC Nijmegen won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Go Ahead Eagles won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    NEC Nijmegen score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Go Ahead Eagles score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of NEC Nijmegen games and 13 of Go Ahead Eagles games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 1 and Go Ahead Eagles won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended NEC Nijmegen 2, Go Ahead Eagles 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles: NEC Nijmegen are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

NEC Nijmegen host Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie on Sun 20 Sept, 14:45 at Goffertstadion. Our prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles is NEC Nijmegen to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.40.

NEC Nijmegen form

NEC Nijmegen have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Go Ahead Eagles form

Go Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. NEC Nijmegen won 1, Go Ahead Eagles won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished NEC Nijmegen 2, Go Ahead Eagles 1.

Our call

We expect NEC Nijmegen to score about 2.1 goals and Go Ahead Eagles about 1.6. That points to NEC Nijmegen to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.40. Our bold bet is NEC Nijmegen to win and Over 2.5 at 2.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NECGo Ahead Eagles
Games played2020
Wins86
Draws77
Losses57
Goals scored3938
Goals conceded2932
Scored per game1.91.9
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record3W 4D 4L5W 2D 3L
Away record5W 3D 1L1W 5D 4L
Clean sheets10%30%
Both teams scored90%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.40
Over 3.5 goals51%1.97
Both teams to score71%1.42
NEC Nijmegen or Draw71%1.41
Go Ahead Eagles or Draw51%1.96
NEC Nijmegen to win and Over 2.539%2.57
Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.522%4.45
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet20%4.97
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet12%8.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.8%
2-18.7%
2-27.0%
1-26.6%
3-16.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Our prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles is NEC Nijmegen to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.40.

What is the score prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect NEC Nijmegen to score 2.1 goals and Go Ahead Eagles 1.6.

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 18 of NEC Nijmegen last 20 games and 12 of Go Ahead Eagles last 20.

How are NEC Nijmegen playing?

NEC Nijmegen have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Go Ahead Eagles playing?

Go Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when NEC Nijmegen and Go Ahead Eagles last met?

It ended NEC Nijmegen 2, Go Ahead Eagles 1. In the last 2 meetings NEC Nijmegen won 1 and Go Ahead Eagles won 0.

What is the best bet for NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.40, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.