Predictions › Saudi Pro League › Neom SC vs Al Fateh

Saudi Pro LeagueSun 13 Sept, 16:20 UTC

Neom SC vs Al Fateh prediction

King Khalid Sport City Stadium

Neom SCHome

1.74 : 1.04

expected goals

Al FatehAway

53%Neom SC

25%Draw

22%Al Fateh

Eagle safe pickNeom SC or Draw

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Neom SC vs Al Fateh is Neom SC to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Neom SC or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction: Neom SC to win
Chance: 53%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Neom SC 1.7, Al Fateh 1.0
Best bet: Neom SC or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Neom SC or Draw

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Neom SC to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Neom SC 53%, the draw 25% and Al Fateh 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Neom SC the favourite at 1.69.
2
Recent form
Neom SC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Al Fateh took 3 from 5. Neom SC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Neom SC won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Al Fateh won 0 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Neom SC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Al Fateh score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Neom SC games and 7 of Al Fateh games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Neom SC won 0 and Al Fateh won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Al Fateh 2, Neom SC 2.
6
The safest bet
Neom SC or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Neom SC vs Al Fateh: Neom SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Neom SC host Al Fateh in the Saudi Pro League on Sun 13 Sept, 16:20 at King Khalid Sport City Stadium. Our prediction for Neom SC vs Al Fateh is Neom SC to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Neom SC or Draw at 1.28.

Neom SC form

Neom SC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Al Fateh form

Al Fateh have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Neom SC won 0, Al Fateh won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Al Fateh 2, Neom SC 2.

Our call

We expect Neom SC to score about 1.7 goals and Al Fateh about 1.0. That points to Neom SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Neom SC or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Neom SC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Neom SC	Al Fateh
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	3
Draws	5	7
Losses	7	10
Goals scored	26	17
Goals conceded	23	27
Scored per game	1.3	0.8
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	4W 3D 2L	3W 3D 4L
Away record	4W 2D 5L	0W 4D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Both teams scored	50%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Neom SC to win	53%	1.89	1.69	-10.4%
A Draw	25%	4.00	4.00	-0.0%
Al Fateh to win	22%	4.55	4.30	-5.5%
Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.75	1.56	-11.0%
Under 2.5 goals	43%	2.34	2.25	-3.7%
Neom SC -0.5	55%	1.82	1.63	-10.7%
Al Fateh +0.5	45%	2.22	2.05	-7.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.28
Both teams to score	54%	1.85
Neom SC or Draw	78%	1.28
Al Fateh or Draw	47%	2.13
Neom SC to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.98
Al Fateh to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.79
Neom SC clean sheet	35%	2.84
Al Fateh clean sheet	18%	5.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%

1-010.1%

2-19.8%

2-09.4%

0-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

Our prediction for Neom SC vs Al Fateh is Neom SC to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Neom SC or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Neom SC to score 1.7 goals and Al Fateh 1.0.

Will both teams score in Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Neom SC last 20 games and 9 of Al Fateh last 20.

How are Neom SC playing?

How are Al Fateh playing?

What happened when Neom SC and Al Fateh last met?

It ended Al Fateh 2, Neom SC 2. In the last 2 meetings Neom SC won 0 and Al Fateh won 1.

What is the best bet for Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

Neom SC or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.