Nevada Wolf Pack vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nevada +18.5

74% chanceFair price -2901 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nevada to win

30% chanceFair price +2291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 70% and Nevada Wolf Pack 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 3 of their last 5 and Nevada Wolf Pack won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Nevada Wolf Pack won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders score 25.7 points a game and let in 28.1. Nevada Wolf Pack score 20.8 and let in 25.5. Their recent games average 53.8 and 46.4 points in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 1 and Nevada Wolf Pack won 0. The last one ended Nevada Wolf Pack 13, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 14.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Nevada +18.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. MTSU +3.5 wins if MTSU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.