PredictionsUnited StatesNew England Revolution vs Orlando City SC
MLSSat 19 Sept, 19:30 United States time

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC prediction

Gillette Stadium

New England RevolutionHome
2.48 : 1.37
expected goals
Orlando City SCAway
61%New England
19%Draw
19%Orlando
Eagle safe pickNew England Revolution or Draw
-415

Quick answer

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC is New England Revolution to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -415.

Prediction
New England Revolution to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
New England Revolution 2.5, Orlando City SC 1.4
Best bet
New England Revolution or Draw at -415
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

New England Revolution or Draw
81% chanceFair price -4152 units

Eagle bold pick

New England Revolution to win and both score
39% chanceFair price +1601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New England Revolution 61%, the draw 19% and Orlando City SC 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New England Revolution took 10 points from their last 5 games and Orlando City SC took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New England Revolution won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Orlando City SC won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    New England Revolution score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Orlando City SC score 1.8 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of New England Revolution games and 13 of Orlando City SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    New England Revolution or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC: New England Revolution are favourites

The big picture

New England Revolution host Orlando City SC in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 19:30 at Gillette Stadium. Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC is New England Revolution to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -415.

New England Revolution form

New England Revolution have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Orlando City SC form

Orlando City SC have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 44 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect New England Revolution to score about 2.5 goals and Orlando City SC about 1.4. That points to New England Revolution to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -415. Our bold bet is New England Revolution to win and both score at +160.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

New EnglandOrlando
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws44
Losses58
Goals scored3136
Goals conceded2144
Scored per game1.61.8
Conceded per game1.12.2
Home record7W 2D 2L5W 2D 2L
Away record4W 2D 3L3W 2D 6L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%-916
Over 2.5 goals74%-284
Over 3.5 goals54%-116
Both teams to score69%-221
New England Revolution or Draw81%-415
Orlando City SC or Draw39%+159
New England Revolution to win and Over 2.550%+100
Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.515%+568
New England Revolution clean sheet25%+294
Orlando City SC clean sheet8%+1098

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.0%
1-17.6%
3-17.4%
2-06.5%
2-26.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC is New England Revolution to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -415.

What is the score prediction for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect New England Revolution to score 2.5 goals and Orlando City SC 1.4.

Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of New England Revolution last 20 games and 13 of Orlando City SC last 20.

How are New England Revolution playing?

New England Revolution have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Orlando City SC playing?

Orlando City SC have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 44 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

New England Revolution or Draw at -415, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.