New Mexico Lobos vs Oklahoma Sooners prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

New Mexico +20.5

74% chanceFair price -2891 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

New Mexico to win

26% chanceFair price +2851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Oklahoma Sooners 74% and New Mexico Lobos 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Oklahoma Sooners won 4 of their last 5 and New Mexico Lobos won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Oklahoma Sooners won 5 of their last 7 games at home. New Mexico Lobos won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Oklahoma Sooners score 27.8 points a game and let in 15.4. New Mexico Lobos score 28.4 and let in 20.1. Their recent games average 43.2 and 48.5 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   New Mexico +20.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oklahoma +3.5 wins if Oklahoma win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.