New Mexico State Aggies vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawai'i to win

71% chancePrice -3101 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

New Mexico St to win

29% chancePrice +250+0.3% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 71% and New Mexico State Aggies 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors the favourite at -310.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 2 of their last 5 and New Mexico State Aggies won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 5 of their last 7 games at home. New Mexico State Aggies won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors score 28.7 points a game and let in 24.3. New Mexico State Aggies score 23.9 and let in 30.2. Their recent games average 52.9 and 54.1 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Hawai'i to win has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hawai'i +3.5 wins if Hawai'i win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.