New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lions to win

74% chancePrice -3401 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Saints to win

26% chancePrice +2701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Detroit Lions 74% and New Orleans Saints 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Detroit Lions the favourite at -340.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Detroit Lions won 3 of their last 5 and New Orleans Saints won 2 of their last 5. Detroit Lions come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Detroit Lions won 6 of their last 9 games at home. New Orleans Saints won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Detroit Lions score 27.6 points a game and let in 22.7. New Orleans Saints score 17.9 and let in 23.4. Their recent games average 50.3 and 41.3 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Lions to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lions +3.5 wins if Lions win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.