PredictionsUnited StatesNew York City FC vs Red Bull New York
MLSFri 18 Sept, 19:30 United States time

New York City FC vs Red Bull New York prediction

Yankee Stadium

New York City FCHome
1.85 : 1.25
expected goals
Red Bull New YorkAway
51%NYCFC
24%Draw
25%Red Bull NY
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-459

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York City FC vs Red Bull New York is New York City FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -459.

Prediction
New York City FC to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
New York City FC 1.9, Red Bull New York 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -459
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price -4592 units

Eagle bold pick

New York City FC to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price +1821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York City FC 51%, the draw 24% and Red Bull New York 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York City FC took 3 points from their last 5 games and Red Bull New York took 2 from 5. New York City FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York City FC won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Red Bull New York won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    New York City FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. Red Bull New York score 1.4 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of New York City FC games and 12 of Red Bull New York games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, New York City FC won 1 and Red Bull New York won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Red Bull New York 1, New York City FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

New York City FC vs Red Bull New York: New York City FC are favourites

The big picture

New York City FC host Red Bull New York in the MLS on Fri 18 Sept, 19:30 at Yankee Stadium. Our prediction for New York City FC vs Red Bull New York is New York City FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -459.

New York City FC form

New York City FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Red Bull New York form

Red Bull New York have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. New York City FC won 1, Red Bull New York won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Red Bull New York 1, New York City FC 1.

Our call

We expect New York City FC to score about 1.9 goals and Red Bull New York about 1.3. That points to New York City FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -459. Our bold bet is New York City FC to win and Over 2.5 at +182.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NYCFCRed Bull NY
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws75
Losses910
Goals scored2628
Goals conceded3043
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game1.52.1
Home record2W 4D 5L3W 3D 4L
Away record2W 3D 4L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets15%5%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%-459
Over 2.5 goals60%-149
Over 3.5 goals37%+167
Both teams to score61%-154
New York City FC or Draw75%-299
Red Bull New York or Draw49%+104
New York City FC to win and Over 2.535%+182
Red Bull New York to win and Over 2.517%+504
New York City FC clean sheet29%+247
Red Bull New York clean sheet16%+537

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
2-19.6%
2-07.7%
1-07.7%
1-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win New York City FC vs Red Bull New York?

Our prediction for New York City FC vs Red Bull New York is New York City FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -459.

What is the score prediction for New York City FC vs Red Bull New York?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect New York City FC to score 1.9 goals and Red Bull New York 1.3.

Will both teams score in New York City FC vs Red Bull New York?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of New York City FC last 20 games and 14 of Red Bull New York last 20.

How are New York City FC playing?

New York City FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Red Bull New York playing?

Red Bull New York have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when New York City FC and Red Bull New York last met?

It ended Red Bull New York 1, New York City FC 1. In the last 2 meetings New York City FC won 1 and Red Bull New York won 0.

What is the best bet for New York City FC vs Red Bull New York?

Over 1.5 goals at -459, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.