New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Under 55.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Los Angeles Rams 78% and New York Giants 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Rams the favourite at -485.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Los Angeles Rams won 3 of their last 5 and New York Giants won 4 of their last 5. New York Giants come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Los Angeles Rams won 6 of their last 8 games at home. New York Giants won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Los Angeles Rams score 29.0 points a game and let in 20.1. New York Giants score 22.8 and let in 23.2. Their recent games average 49.0 and 46.0 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Under 55.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rams +3.5 wins if Rams win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.