New York Jets vs Tennessee Titans prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 31.5 points

73% chanceFair price -2731 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Tennessee Titans 53% and New York Jets 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Tennessee Titans the favourite at -122.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Tennessee Titans won 2 of their last 5 and New York Jets won 1 of their last 5. Tennessee Titans come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Tennessee Titans won 2 of their last 11 games at home. New York Jets won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Tennessee Titans score 17.1 points a game and let in 26.9. New York Jets score 16.2 and let in 27.2. Their recent games average 44.0 and 43.3 points in total, and the market line is 38.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Over 31.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Titans +3.5 wins if Titans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.