New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Lynx to win

70% chancePrice -2501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Minnesota Lynx 70% and New York Liberty 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Minnesota Lynx the favourite at -250.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Minnesota Lynx won 3 of their last 5 and New York Liberty won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Minnesota Lynx won 8 of their last 11 games at home. New York Liberty won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Minnesota Lynx score 92.3 points a game and let in 86.5. New York Liberty score 91.8 and let in 90.2. Their recent games average 178.9 and 182.1 points in total, and the market line is 178.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Minnesota Lynx won 1 and New York Liberty won 1. The last one ended Minnesota Lynx 90, New York Liberty 85.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Lynx to win has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lynx +3.5 wins if Lynx win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.