PredictionsUnited StatesNew York Mets vs New York Yankees
MLBSun 13 Sept, 13:35 United States time

New York Mets vs New York Yankees prediction

Yankee Stadium

New York MetsAway
3.9 : 4.8
projected runs
New York YankeesHome
41%Mets
59%Yankees
Eagle safe pickYankees +1.5
-251

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Mets vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 59% chance. We project New York Mets 3.9 and New York Yankees 4.8. Our best bet is Yankees +1.5 at -251.

Prediction
New York Yankees to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
New York Mets 4, New York Yankees 5
Projected total
8.7 runs
Best bet
Yankees +1.5 at -251

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Yankees +1.5
71% chanceFair price -2511 unit

Eagle bold pick

Mets to win
41% chanceFair price +1441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Yankees 59% and New York Mets 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Yankees won 4 of their last 5 and New York Mets won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Yankees won 9 of their last 13 games at home. New York Mets won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Yankees score 5.4 runs a game and let in 3.3. New York Mets score 5.1 and let in 5.0. Their recent games average 8.7 and 10.2 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, New York Yankees won 1 and New York Mets won 4. The last one ended New York Mets 7, New York Yankees 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Yankees +1.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

New York Mets vs New York Yankees: New York Yankees are favourites

The big picture

New York Yankees host New York Mets in the MLB on Sun 13 Sept, 13:35 at Yankee Stadium. Our prediction for New York Mets vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 59% chance. We project New York Mets 3.9 and New York Yankees 4.8. Our best bet is Yankees +1.5 at -251.

New York Yankees form

New York Yankees have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 108 runs scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

New York Mets form

New York Mets have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 102 runs scored and 101 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. New York Yankees won 1, New York Mets won 4. Last time out it finished New York Mets 7, New York Yankees 6.

Our call

We expect New York Mets to score about 3.9 runs and New York Yankees about 4.8. That points to New York Yankees to win. Our safest bet is Yankees +1.5 at -251. Our bold bet is Mets to win at +144.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

YankeesMets
Games played2020
Wins1311
Losses79
Runs scored108102
Runs conceded66101
Scored per game5.45.1
Conceded per game3.35.0
Home record9W 4L5W 6L
Away record4W 3L6W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Yankees spreadCoversFair
Yankees -2.535%+186
Yankees -1.544%+127
Yankees -0.554%-116
Yankees +0.563%-169
Yankees +1.571%-250
Total runsOverUnder
6.569%31%
7.561%39%
8.552%48%
9.543%57%
10.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Yankees +3.5 wins if Yankees win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Mets vs New York Yankees?

Our prediction for New York Mets vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 59% chance. We project New York Mets 3.9 and New York Yankees 4.8. Our best bet is Yankees +1.5 at -251.

What is the projected score for New York Mets vs New York Yankees?

We project New York Mets 3.9 and New York Yankees 4.8, about 8.7 runs in total.

How are New York Yankees playing?

New York Yankees have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 108 runs scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are New York Mets playing?

New York Mets have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 102 runs scored and 101 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when New York Yankees and New York Mets last met?

It ended New York Mets 7, New York Yankees 6. In the last 5 meetings New York Yankees won 1 and New York Mets won 4.

What is the best bet for New York Mets vs New York Yankees?

Yankees +1.5 at -251, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.