New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Yankees +1.5

70% chanceFair price -2361 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Twins to win

42% chanceFair price +1361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Minnesota Twins 42% and New York Yankees 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Minnesota Twins won 2 of their last 5 and New York Yankees won 4 of their last 5. New York Yankees come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Minnesota Twins won 5 of their last 8 games at home. New York Yankees won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Minnesota Twins score 4.7 runs a game and let in 5.0. New York Yankees score 5.4 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 9.7 and 8.7 runs in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, Minnesota Twins won 3 and New York Yankees won 2. The last one ended New York Yankees 1, Minnesota Twins 6.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Yankees +1.5 has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Twins +3.5 wins if Twins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.