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Predictions › United Kingdom › Newcastle United vs Hull City
Premier LeagueSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Newcastle United vs Hull City prediction

St. James' Park

Newcastle UnitedHome
2.09 : 0.98
expected goals
Hull CityAway
62%Newcastle
21%Draw
16%Hull
Eagle safe pickNewcastle United or Draw
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Hull City is Newcastle United to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Newcastle United or Draw at 1/5.

Prediction
Newcastle United to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Newcastle United 2.1, Hull City 1.0
Best bet
Newcastle United or Draw at 1/5
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Newcastle United or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Newcastle United to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 11/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Newcastle United 62%, the draw 21% and Hull City 16%. The bookmakers agree and make Newcastle United the favourite at 1/2.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Newcastle United took 11 points from their last 5 games and Hull City took 8 from 5. Newcastle United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Newcastle United won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Hull City won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Newcastle United score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. Hull City score 1.1 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Newcastle United games and 8 of Hull City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Newcastle United or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Newcastle United vs Hull City: Newcastle United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Newcastle United host Hull City in the Premier League on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at St. James' Park. Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Hull City is Newcastle United to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Newcastle United or Draw at 1/5.

Newcastle United form

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Hull City form

Hull City have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Newcastle United to score about 2.1 goals and Hull City about 1.0. That points to Newcastle United to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Newcastle United or Draw at 1/5. Our bold bet is Newcastle United to win and Over 2.5 at 11/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NewcastleHull
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws47
Losses86
Goals scored3221
Goals conceded3420
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.71.0
Home record5W 3D 3L4W 4D 1L
Away record3W 1D 5L3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored75%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Newcastle United to win62%8/131/2-7.3%
A Draw21%7/27/2-3.5%
Hull City to win16%5/15/1-2.5%
Over 2.5 goals59%4/68/13-5.3%
Under 2.5 goals41%7/55/4-5.6%
Newcastle United -1.541%7/56/5-10.0%
Hull City +1.559%4/64/7-7.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals59%4/6
Over 3.5 goals37%7/4
Both teams to score55%4/5
Newcastle United or Draw84%1/5
Hull City or Draw38%13/8
Newcastle United to win and Over 2.543%11/8
Hull City to win and Over 2.510%9/1
Newcastle United clean sheet38%13/8
Hull City clean sheet12%7/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.1%
1-110.1%
2-19.9%
1-09.2%
3-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Newcastle United vs Hull City?

Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Hull City is Newcastle United to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Newcastle United or Draw at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Newcastle United vs Hull City?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-1. We expect Newcastle United to score 2.1 goals and Hull City 1.0.

Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Hull City?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Newcastle United last 20 games and 10 of Hull City last 20.

How are Newcastle United playing?

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Hull City playing?

Hull City have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Newcastle United vs Hull City?

Newcastle United or Draw at 1/5, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.