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Predictions › Ligue 1 › Nice vs Lille
Ligue 1Sun 20 Sept, 15:15 UTC

Nice vs Lille prediction

Allianz Riviera

NiceHome
0.98 : 1.48
expected goals
LilleAway
24%Nice
28%Draw
48%Lille
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nice vs Lille is Lille to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Lille to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Nice 1.0, Lille 1.5
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lille to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.731 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nice 24%, the draw 28% and Lille 48%. The bookmakers agree and make Lille the favourite at 2.05.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nice took 3 points from their last 5 games and Lille took 7 from 5. Lille come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nice won 0 of their last 10 games at home. Lille won 9 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nice score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.5. Lille score 1.3 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Nice games and 6 of Lille games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Nice won 1 and Lille won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Lille 0, Nice 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Nice vs Lille: Lille are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nice host Lille in the Ligue 1 on Sun 20 Sept, 15:15 at Allianz Riviera. Our prediction for Nice vs Lille is Lille to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Nice form

Nice have 2 wins, 10 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Lille form

Lille have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Nice won 1, Lille won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Lille 0, Nice 0.

Our call

We expect Nice to score about 1.0 goals and Lille about 1.5. That points to Lille to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Lille to win and Over 2.5 at 3.73.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NiceLille
Games played2020
Wins211
Draws104
Losses85
Goals scored1726
Goals conceded3015
Scored per game0.81.3
Conceded per game1.50.8
Home record0W 8D 2L2W 4D 4L
Away record2W 2D 6L9W 0D 1L
Clean sheets25%50%
Both teams scored45%30%
Over 2.5 goals40%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Nice to win24%4.143.40-17.9%
A Draw28%3.613.45-4.5%
Lille to win48%2.082.05-1.3%
Over 2.5 goals48%2.081.87-10.2%
Under 2.5 goals52%1.921.83-4.7%
Nice +0.553%1.881.69-10.3%
Lille -0.547%2.131.95-8.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.24
Over 3.5 goals23%4.28
Both teams to score49%2.04
Nice or Draw52%1.93
Lille or Draw76%1.32
Nice to win and Over 2.512%8.02
Lille to win and Over 2.527%3.73
Nice clean sheet23%4.40
Lille clean sheet38%2.66

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
0-111.9%
0-29.4%
0-09.3%
1-29.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nice vs Lille?

Our prediction for Nice vs Lille is Lille to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Nice vs Lille?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Nice to score 1.0 goals and Lille 1.5.

Will both teams score in Nice vs Lille?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Nice last 20 games and 6 of Lille last 20.

How are Nice playing?

Nice have 2 wins, 10 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Lille playing?

Lille have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Nice and Lille last met?

It ended Lille 0, Nice 0. In the last 2 meetings Nice won 1 and Lille won 0.

What is the best bet for Nice vs Lille?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.